Disinformation. In November 2016, American citizens first heard the term “hybrid warfare” in relation to Russia and the US presidential election. This material represents an assessment of the market environment as of the date indicated; is subject to change; and is not intended to be a forecast of future events or a guarantee of future results. 31 of January: Brexit. Two Geopolitical Events Investors Need to Stay on Top of in 2020 by Guest Contributor Published 29 January 2020 at 09:50. Given Dr Rogers’ formidable grasp on the topic, “Drone Warfare” is sure to be a deeply enlightening and informative read. We detail the key geopolitical events for the rest of the year in the table below. Freedman charts the course of the conflict, from its turbulent beginnings of pressure on former President Yanukovych to turn away from Europe, to the failure of the Minsk peace process and how domestic politics developed, both in Ukraine and in Russia. Editor’s note: While Dr Rogers is far too humble to put forward his own work for our reading list, his latest work alongside Professor of War Studies Caroline Kennedy-Pipe is due for release in 2020 (following a nail-biting delay for those of us keen to read it!). Lastly, Sri Lanka and the Maldives have overcome their volatile political situations, it now remains to be seen how the countries fare in 2020. He shares some personal errors and doesn’t puff up his victories but humbly highlights that he was merely there to be a connector between his men and higher headquarters, filtered through the lens of the end state of the mission. "The risk for 2020 is the spread of unrest," Helfstein wrote. Understanding the extent and influence of Islamism across the region will be important for understanding the geopolitics of Southeast Asia in 2020: In South Asia, due to Pakistan and India’s prevailing friction, and the ever-rising Chinese superpower across India’s Himalayan frontier, India this year began putting more resources into the the BIMSTEC (Bangladesh, India, Myanmar, Sri Lanka, Thailand , Nepal and Bhutan) organisation, of which Pakistan is not a member. A stark, well-researched, blow-by-blow account of failed US policies and wars in the Middle East and Southwest Asia, and how these are responsible for the chaos currently gripping large swathes of these regions, the decline of the American Empire, as well as the rise of Donald Trump. Across Central & South Asia and Africa, Chinese infrastructure projects continue to develop while little by little, small contingents of Chinese security forces are deployed in force-protection roles, garnering much suspicion along the way. Data will become the new oil. What is 2020 likely to mean for the financial markets? The Funds are distributed by BlackRock Investments, LLC (together with its affiliates, "BlackRock"). Markets cannot ignore major geopolitical events Published Sun, Dec 22 2019 11:05 PM EST Updated Sun, Dec 22 2019 11:07 PM EST Dr. Michael Ivanovitch @msiglobal9 … The Lands in Between: Russia vs. the West and the New Politics of Hybrid War (Mitchell A. Orenstein). China's political and economic landings. Making Sense of the Troubles is a reissue of a 12-year old piece, updated to include the (until recently collapsed) power-sharing government at Stormont. Of course, we know this is true of all forms of terror: nobody has ever been statistically likely to be killed in a suicide blast, and yet the subject still fascinates. While the field is expansive and every growing, Sua Sponte is well-written and from a respected writer. Edwin Tran – Levant Socio-Economics Analyst. Disclosure: Purchases made using the links in this article earn referral payments for Encyclopedia Geopolitica. Written by a former Delta Force commander, this piece is part memoir, part self-help book. Frontier markets involve heightened risks related to the same factors and may be subject to a greater risk of loss than investments in more developed and emerging markets. Encyclopedia Geopolitica readers have access to a 30-day free trial for Kindle Unlimited, allowing them to sample over 1 million ebooks and thousands of audiobooks. Central Asia remains a mysterious region to many Western observers, where clan loyalties matter more than national ones, and where despots and technocrats have made entire nations into their fiefdoms. The Tech Wars: Technology will become a frontline of geopolitical competition. Election Year and impeachment politics will have a significant effect on the apolitical services, and may drive some unpredictable military operations. The theme of Power looks at India’s imagination of soft and hard power, and how it plays a role with its relations vis-a-vis its immediate neighbours. As a renowned scholar in the inter-related fields of law, strategy, and history, Bobbitt’s Terror and Consent is absolutely indispensable in getting to grips with the changing world in which we live at the grand strategic level. For many years the dictators and technocrats there maintained a strong hold on radicalism, but the tide may be beginning to turn. Events for November 2020. Understanding Israel’s place in the geopolitical landscape of the Middle East will likely be highly important in 2020 as these developments continue, and the following are recommended reads: Moving north from the Gulf, the Levant is in a period of consolidation with the ground and air campaigns in Syria, and particularly Iraq, largely over. Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. The challenge in risk forecasting, and indeed the key geopolitical threat the world is facing in 2020, is the unpredictability of both black swan events and human behavior. They will be able to provide you with balanced options education and tools to assist you with your iShares options questions and trading. Understanding this frozen-but-deadly conflict will be critical for those wishing to understand South Asian geopolitics in 2020: Pakistan is staring at a balance of payments crisis in the near future, and has taken out larger loans from the IMF and China. Any readers wishing to develop their own understanding of why President Putin acts as he does and the effect of Russia’s historic and geographic legacy will enjoy Giles’ insights. President Trump again failed to attend the recent ASEAN summit in Thailand, where moves towards a regional free-trade agreement we discussed. Near. Sir Lawrence Freedman, Emeritus Professor at King’s College London, provides the authoritative account of the conflict that erupted after the EuroMaidan revolution in February 2014. Online (GMT) 20th November 2020. While his intent may be to use his life story as anecdotes behind his simple rules to life, it is the stories that are more compelling. Drawing in part on rare access to China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs archives, Khan charts the development of Grand strategy under the Communist party from before the founding of the PRC to the present day. Across the Arabian/Persian Gulf, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and their predominantly Sunni allies seek to counter Iran’s growing influence across the region. Ukraine and the Art of Strategy (Lawrence Freedman). , the buildup of NATO forces is ongoing, while the Kremlin has responded in kind inside the Kaliningrad oblast and Russia itself. As time passes, the event is slowly forgotten, and the gradual evolution of history is something you get used to. Assad’s regime will likely spend 2020 consolidating against what little resistance is left. Understanding the ambitious OBOR project and its impact on the countries along its route will be key in 2020: As something of a counter to China’s economic and hard-power expansion, the Free and Open Indo-Pacific (FOIP) strategy was launched as a joint effort in 2017, however, despite a number of progress reports, the concept remains somewhat nebulous and has been criticised as being a thin veil for a China-containment strategy. Whether the withdrawal will be turned around with a tweet, or if there is a sizeable shift after a change in President remains to be seen. The retreat of Kurdish forces will likely lead to sporadic resurgences of Islamic State-linked violence in 2020, and Turkey’s advance will put its relationship with other NATO powers under strain. The book lays out the current situation where the developing world is fast catching up with the developed world, and how this may affect the near and medium-term future where the West may not be the undisputed leader of the world anymore. With Brexit bringing the never-quite-went-away spectre of violence in Northern Ireland back into focus, getting to grips with this oft-misunderstood conflict is critical. Looking ahead to the 2020s: geopolitical crisis, strategy and security. Hulsman explores the concept that, rather than a naturally dangerous political world threatening our stability and safety, it is in fact a strange type of political self-harm that carries the greatest threat. The following are recommended for understanding the key players in the White House: In addition to the turbulent administration, increasingly stressed internal divisions have gripped America in 2019, and will almost certainly continue to deepen in the coming year. Dictators Without Borders: Power and Money in Central Asia(Alexander Cooley & John Hathershaw). Launch of the Strategic Survey 2020: Exploring the geopolitical trends that will define 2021 and beyond. Enter your email address to subscribe and receive notifications of new articles by email. The document discusses exchange traded options issued by The Options Clearing Corporation and is intended for educational purposes. Nonetheless, the book will hopefully inspire more insights from scholars in the developing world. Post was not sent - check your email addresses! Beginning with Mao and the Jiangxi Soviet, when the PRC was more dream than reality, Khan gives a refreshing and balanced account of how China’s actions – confrontational and acquiescent, sometimes opaque but always pragmatic – have achieved their aim in a shifting international and domestic landscape and against a background of constant insecurity. Alexander Stafford – Chinese Affairs and Defence Analyst, Haunted By Chaos: China’s Grand Strategy from Mao Zedong to Xi Jinping (Sulmaan Wasif Khan). A fund could suffer losses related to its derivative positions because of a possible lack of liquidity in the secondary market and as a result of unanticipated market movements, which losses are potentially unlimited. To Russia’s West in the Baltics, the buildup of NATO forces is ongoing, while the Kremlin has responded in kind inside the Kaliningrad oblast and Russia itself. Show Events Search Events Search. Cases of bribery, money laundering, and meddling by foreign officials, including Western ones, are far more pervasive than might be openly admitted. Both books show young Western actors on a fracturing stage, and provide a warning to history against the failure to consider that the hardest part of any campaign begins after you have won. Through the essays, the book looks at the age-old debate of realpolitik vs principle-based foreign policy as its main theme. The freshly-re-elected Government in Maputo has bigger fish to fry, meanwhile, as it attempts to nip in the bud a burgeoning splinter movement from former RENAMO rebels in Sofala. Charlie Song – Espionage and Global Security Analyst, Sua Sponte: The Forging of a Modern American Ranger (Dick Couch). For better understanding of the issue, the following are well worth reading: Despite celebrating its 70th anniversary this year, the People’s Republic of China has been dealing with its fair share of problems, none of which seem likely to disappear in 2020. iShares international ETFs provide investors with overseas stock and bond exposures, which are as broad as the global market or as targeted as a specific country. In Ukraine, meanwhile, President Zelensky faces the prospect that even he may be unable to break Ukraine free of the oligarchs, potentially causing his support to wane. From the outset she is against the war, and joins from her UK-based role in the British Council with the intention of doing working in Iraq for a few short months. Cooley and Heathershaw shed light on the mystery and reveal just how connected with the world this isolated region really is. The Bank of Japan events shown are followed by the publication of the central bank’s outlook report. While Bolsonaro himself – well known for his dislike of compromise – is unlikely to change his government’s trajectory in its privatisation push, he will likely feel forced to slow the pace of reforms. Taken as a whole, this number is striking, but taken as a yearly average – around 1,800 globally – it could be described as comparatively insignificant. … Geopolitical Outlook -- 2019-2020 September 30, 2019 The United States Intelligence Community is responsible not only for monitoring current events, but also assessing the future strategic environment, looking around the turns and bends in international relations to see what might be coming in … They foster inter-group hatred perhaps in ways that nothing else can; they change the course of wars. Generation Kill: Devil Dogs, Ice Man, Captain America, and the New Face of American War (Evan Wright). The post-Brexit foreign policy course of the United Kingdom is also worth closely monitoring within this context as Britain seeks to expand on the “Special Relationship”, and as such the following are worth reading: Disintegrative tendencies have continued to be a common theme across Europe in recent years, from the recently-renewed unrest around the Catalonian independence movement in Spain, and increased calls for a second independence referendum in Scotland emerging from the Brexit debate. This book discusses Central Asia not as a realm separate from the globalisation and progress of the 21st century, but as one where globalisation has planted its flag most strongly, and is beginning to antagonise the latent forces of radical Islam. Written with journalistic flare by an author who is not afraid to rustle feathers to get to the truth, this book should be required reading for all students of US foreign policy in the late 20th and 21st centuries. The Great Decoupling. Whilst the reader may take the life lessons to heart and attempt to apply them, the real value is reading the first-hand account of some of the most daring and inventive instances in the early GWOT era. Understanding the region’s precarious and often ageing monarchies will continue to prove vital in 2020, with several possible opportunities for royal successions throughout the region. Changing Security Dynamics in East Asia: A Post-US Regional Order in the Making? Asia-Pacific: Indonesia’s Confederation of Indonesian Trade Unions (KSPI) has extended its protest campaign, hoping to see the overturn of recent labor reforms. With Taiwan going to the polls in January, and incumbent president Tsai Ing-wen having staged a strong comeback in the opinion polls in no small part due to her vocal support of the Hong Kong protesters, perhaps Beijing has refrained from taking action that could further perpetuate another four-year headache of DPP rule in Taipei. It consists of 12 evening lectures given by top-level speakers and experts in the domain of high-level political power-relationships across the world. As an independent publication, our writers are volunteers from within the professional geopolitical intelligence community, and referrals like this support our ability to create future content by funding server time and domain fees. This volume will turn any reader’s understanding of terrorism on its head and give them great pause for thought and reflection. On the contrary, although most Southeast Asian nations strongly wish to avoid choosing sides between the two main powers, unless the US ups its game and applies its diplomatic weight more skilfully this coming year will see parts of Southeast Asia slowly sliding ever closer towards China. Iain Overton’s new book argues they have shaped the modern world to a surprisingly significant degree. BLACKROCK, BLACKROCK SOLUTIONS, BUILD ON BLACKROCK, ALADDIN, iSHARES, iBONDS, FACTORSELECT, iTHINKING, iSHARES CONNECT, FUND FRENZY, LIFEPATH, SO WHAT DO I DO WITH MY MONEY, INVESTING FOR A NEW WORLD, BUILT FOR THESE TIMES, the iShares Core Graphic, CoRI and the CoRI logo are trademarks of BlackRock, Inc., or its subsidiaries in the United States and elsewhere. Dr James Rogers – Drones & Military Technology Analyst, Special mention: Drone warfare: Concepts and controversies (Dr James Rogers and Professor Caroline Kennedy-Pipe). Its narrative begins in 1881 with arguably the very first suicide bombing on the streets of St Petersburg, and ends elliptically in the bloody aftermath of the all-too-familiar strikes by Islamic State. Security forces have become increasingly concerned with spiralling jihadist attacks in Burkina Faso and the Sahel over the last twelve months, and very occasional cross-border raids indicate at least some possibility that the threat could leak onto their own soil. Highly conservative forms of Islam are widespread across the region, and local-issue insurgencies often intertwine themselves with the ideology of jihad. We are offering a series of compact Geopolitical Online Seminars (analysis followed by Q&A) to Christian business people & leaders. With the world becoming ever closer connected in ever more complex and complicated ways, conflicts are more fluid, making them both greater drivers of change and more sensitive to change in seemingly unconnected spheres. With the departure of the ever-resistant UK, Brussels is likely to continue towards building a more integrated European Army in 2020. Asia-Pacific: China to report October inflation data. It is the equivalent of one third of the estimated number of people killed by lightning each year. Historical events in January 2020. Encyclopedia Geopolitica is a collaborative effort to bring you thoughtful insights on world affairs. 04.02.2020 - "De Tweede Vervreemding / The Second Alienation" : the era of worldwide cooperation - Mr Michael Vlerick - … It is possible that, as people on both sides become weary of the war, a real and lasting peace can be reached between Russia and Ukraine, but this all happens under the shadow of a quietly resurgent Islamic radicalism from Central Asia. Once upon a time, and once again, this region is home to the Great Game, no longer a term for the historians alone. The following reads are suggested in order to better understand the conditions that gave birth to the movement, the likely course of Islamic Extremism in 2020, and the strategies that will be employed to counter them: Libya remains tattered and in a state of turmoil, with rival governments competing for legitimacy while international powers remain divided over which factions to support. Sua Sponte is the author’s account of what makes an Army Ranger. Our contributors include Military officers, Geopolitical Intelligence analysts, Corporate Security professionals, Government officials, Academics and Journalists from around the globe. Encyclopedia Geopolitica readers have access to a 30-day free trial for Kindle Unlimited, allowing them to sample over 1 million ebooks and thousands of audiobooks. Situation Reports - November 17, 2020 Ethiopia’s climate-sensitive economy, growing population, and inter-ethnic conflict make it a geopolitical time bomb primed to explode. Values in Foreign Policy (Krishnan Srinivasan et al). No statement in the document should be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell a security or to provide investment advice. As this list contains a staggering 210 books, it may be worth considering Amazon’s Kindle “Unlimited” programme as a more cost-effective way to get through the reading list. US military policy brings a lot of uncertainty heading in to 2020. On the other side of the continent, in the coastal states of Cote d’Ivoire, Ghana and Togo, governments have a more dynamic Islamist threat to consider. Options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. Subscribe Home. Hence, if one wants to gain insights into Africa and Latin America, then this book will not be suitable. Initial disruptions will be minimal because the United Kingdom will remain in the EU single market in 2020, providing a period of certainty for global markets. Prior to buying or selling an option, a person must receive a copy of "Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options." The Mission, The Men, and Me (Pete Blaber). how similar they are, are they converging or diverging etc. An understanding of both sides of the US political divide is key, and the following are recommended: South of the U.S., nearly three quarters of a billion people live in the twenty countries of Latin America. While the new “Great Game” has been played out across the Gulf between Saudi Arabia and Iran for many years now, 2019 has seen several moments where the “Cold War” seemed close to turning “Hot”. This information should not be relied upon by the reader as research or investment advice regarding the funds or any issuer or security in particular. AmCham Belgium and the Vlerick Business School Alumni hereby present you its 2020 Geopolitical Lectures Series. For its part, the United States’ regional engagement has appeared lacklustre at times, especially at the senior levels. list of suggestions for those seeking to better understand the coming year’s geopolitical movements, including academic textbooks, historical studies and insights from some of the world’s greatest geopolitical minds. Along its path, it provides provocative insights into the fears of would-be suicide bombers, and presents an ambitious thesis about their importance in modern history. : 6 August: Egypt and Greece sign a maritime boundary treaty, establishing exclusive … All other marks are the property of their respective owners. In Mozambique, Ansar al Sunnah continue to gradually increase the frequency of attacks against civilians and security forces in the North. Eamon Driscoll – Russia and Commonwealth of Independent States Analyst. To understand where Iraq is going you must understand where it has come from. U.S. election implications for ETF investors. India and Pakistan – both nuclear powers – remain in a tense balance across the Line of Control. Sign in. Show Events Search Events Search ... Events for November 2020. Rojava: An Alternative to Imperialism, Nationalism, and Islamism in the Middle East, Turkey and the West: Fault Lines in a Troubled Alliance, Harpoon: Inside the Covert War Against Terrorism’s Money Masters, The Age of Jihad: Islamic State and the Great War for the Middle East, The Way of the Strangers: Encounters with the Islamic State, The Counter-Terrorism Handbook: Tactics, Procedures and Techniques, Blood Year: Islamic State and the Failures of the War on Terror, Libya remains tattered and in a state of turmoil, French and U.S. counterterrorism missions, From Empires to NGOs in the West African Sahel, Global NATO and the Catastrophic Failure in Libya, Terror and Insurgency in the Sahara-Sahel Region, Sowing Chaos: Libya in the Wake of Humanitarian Intervention, Security Cooperation in West Africa and the Sahel, Unfinished Revolutions: Yemen, Libya, and Tunisia after the Arab Spring, The Politics of Islam in the Sahel: Between Persuasion and Violence, Russian Engagements: On Libyan Politics and Libyan-Russian Relations, The Arab Spring: The End of Postcolonialism, The Arab Uprisings: What Everyone Needs to Know, Saudi Arabia in Transition: Insights on Social, Political, Economic and Religious Change, The Killing in the Consulate: The Life and Death of Jamal Khashoggi, Oman: Politics and Society in the Qaboos State, Algeria Modern: From Opacity to Complexity, Politics and Power in the Maghreb: Algeria, Tunisia and Morocco from Independence to the Arab Spring, Asia’s Cauldron: The South China Sea and the End of a Stable Pacific. Increasingly, investors are also using ETF options - both to express views and gauge market sentiment ahead of and during political events. While the UAE has long been exploring Israeli arms purchases, and the two states have cautiously seen each other as potential security partners against a resurgent Iran since at least 2009, we are now witnessing increasing levels of diplomatic openness between Abu Dhabi and Tel Aviv. Although published in 2002, this book is as relevant today as it was then, especially in the age of post-truth politics and deliberate manipulation of the mass media. Nine key geopolitical forces will shape global politics in the 2020s: 1. Whether this view is correct or not, the continuing use of SOF has raised their profile and, with a public driven to know more about them, have spawned a genre of books written about or even by Special Operators, with varying degrees of accuracy and quality. And they’ve begun to produce the same kind of geopolitical … Despite the abrupt drop in Jihadi terrorism-related deaths in Europe in recent years, Islam and migration-related issues continue to be heavily scrutinised from a security and political perspective, and this year has seen several incidents of far-right, anti-immigrant/islamic violence. Evan Wright brings the flair of Rolling Stone to his writing, painting vivid pictures of terrible scenes, difficult decisions, and the dichotomy of terrible leaders, great leaders, and an over-caffeinated driver. The same can be said about China and Brexit. In fact, Bolsonaro and his Economy Minister have persisted in holding up Chile’s market-focused policy agenda as the blueprint for reforms for Brazil – a plan that appeals less and less to the Brazilian elites after near-unprecedented protests in Santiago prompted the sacking of the entire Chilean Cabinet. President Bolsonaro, who is already struggling in his attempt to tackle endemic corruption and economic strife, is particularly concerned about the loss of an economic ally in Argentina, and the increasing vulnerability of a second in Chile. This fantastic “ten commandments of political risk analysis” examines a history of geopolitical predictions that have been wildly off the mark. International investing involves risks, including risks related to foreign currency, limited liquidity, less government regulation and the possibility of substantial volatility due to adverse political, economic or other developments. France’s Gilets Jaunes movement have paralysed much of the country on a regular basis, drawing extensive tax concessions and tempering reformist President Emmanuel Macron’s plan to radically reshape the French economy. Rigged! Events Search and Views Navigation. As a result, its geopolitical shifts in the year to come will not go unnoticed. Cooley and Heathershaw shed light on the mystery and reveal just how connected with the world this isolated region really is. At least a quarter of a million people have been killed or injured by suicide attacks since Tsar Alexander II of Russia was assassinated in arguably the first planned suicidal explosion in 1881. The following is a report summarizing an event on the conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh between Armenia and Azerbaijan, featuring: Aaron Stein, Director of Research at the Foreign Policy Research Institute; Maia Otarashvili, Deputy Director of the Eurasia Program at the Foreign Policy Research Institute; Robert E. Hamilton, Black Sea Fellow at the Foreign Policy Research Institute; … The following books are highly recommended for deepening your understanding of Islam and its interaction with the geopolitics of the West: In many ways connected to the issue of immigration and globalisation, the region has continued to experience significant challenges surrounding the United Kingdom’s decision to depart from the European Union. Despite the abrupt drop in Jihadi terrorism-related deaths in Europe in recent years, Islam and migration-related issues continue to be heavily scrutinised from a security and political perspectiv… Freedman’s unique perspective on this conflict sheds new light on a complex and globally-significant conflict, and challenges the idea of Putin both as geopolitical poker master and international puppet-master. Geopolitical Outlook -- 2020-2021 October 29, 2020 The United States Intelligence Community is responsible not only for monitoring current events, but also assessing the future strategic environment, looking around the turns and bends in international relations to see what might be coming in … However, with no end-state post-invasion it quickly becomes apparent that Iraq is in for a harsh future. Picture credit: The Reading Room of the British Museum, by Riccardo Cambiass. Sir Lawrence Freedman, Emeritus Professor at King’s College London, provides the authoritative account of the conflict that erupted after the EuroMaidan revolution in February 2014. The strategies discussed are strictly for illustrative and educational purposes and are not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. Last year was a reminder of the interconnection between politics and markets.

Pink Lady Plant, Puerto Rico Island Map, Monthly Vacation Rentals, Modern Data Analytic Tools Pdf, Skincare Cosmetics Retinol Skin Brightener, Ge Café Convection Microwave Manual, How To Connect Android Phone To Projector Via Usb, Schwarzkopf Heat Protection Spray,